Broncos vs Seahawks odds, picks and predictions

These NFL schedulers know what they are doing.

Thanks to the non-conference carousel, Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season ends with the Denver Broncos visiting the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football.

Of course, one of the biggest events of the offseason was the trade of Seattle franchise quarterback Russell Wilson to Denver, instantly making the Broncos a Super Bowl contender and setting up one of the most intriguing matchups on the season opener.

Denver has drawn a ton of money and bets heading into this contest, causing a significant adjustment in the spread from the spring opener. That move is unlikely to be completed yet as this Monday night will be a key game for bookies and punters.

We analyze the spread and totals for Monday Night Football and provide our best NFL picks and predictions for Broncos at Seahawks.

Broncos vs Seahawks best odds

Broncos vs Seahawks picks and predictions

The Seahawks have a flat tire on the run, with rookie RB Kenneth Walker injured, leaving Rashad Penny as the team’s only true early-down running back. That could put Pete Carroll in a tough spot if the ground game can’t get going.

This offense didn’t even like the pass when it had Russell Wilson under center, but given the RB situation and the fact that Seattle could play from behind for most of the game (if this spread is correct), the Seahawks will lean on Geno Smith and the passing playbook a lot more Monday night.

His favorite target is WR Tyler Lockett, who will be in the slot to accommodate Smith’s lack of downfield pop (averaging just 7.0 projected yards per throw in 2021). As my beautiful Covers counterpart Josh Inglis pointed out in his MNF support picks, Lockett was targeted on 13 of Smith’s 24 pass attempts in his final start against Jacksonville in 2021.

Lockett caught 12 of those balls — his busiest day all season — and averaged 4.5 receptions per snap. game in a very up-and-down 2021 campaign for the Seahawks.

With a solid Broncos secondary taking out DK Metcalf and the Denver pass rush pushing around the Seahawks’ awful offensive line, Smith will hear footsteps and rush his throws to Lockett as a short pressure release.

My best guess: Tyler Lockett Over 3.5 receptions (-155)

Broncos vs Seahawks betting preview

Jump to:
•Dispersion analysis •Over/Under analysis •Game info •Injuries •Weather •Trend to know

Dispersion analysis

When this matchup was announced in the spring, books opened Denver as a 4.5-point road favorite – remaining lower because of Seattle still mentioned in many rumors surrounding top QB options. But when it became clear that the Seahawks were sticking with either Drew Lock or Geno Smith, the action hit hard in Denver and hasn’t really stopped.

That spread jumped right to the Broncos -6 in August and has risen to as high as -7 with kickoff a day away as of this writing. Covers Consensus shows 73% of the picks on visitors and sportsbooks like WynnBET

Over/Under analysis

The Over/Under hit the board at 41.5 points back in May and has slowly climbed all offseason, reaching as high as 44.5 with kickoff a day away.

With Wilson under center, Denver has structured the offense to its strengths, and the Broncos will want to showcase their passing ability after not only trading away a number of picks for the veteran QB, but also recently signing him to a long-term deal.

Seattle is thin in the run game and may be forced to throw more than Pete Carroll would like, leading to bigger gains and more running time. All good for fans of Over.

Broncos vs Seahawks game details

• Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
• Date: Monday 12 September 2022
• Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN

Broncos vs Seahawks key injuries

Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Broncos vs Seahawks weather

Monitor game time conditions with our live NFL weather information and learn how weather affects NFL betting.

Broncos vs Seahawks betting trend to know

The Seahawks were a remarkable 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in home openers with Russell Wilson under center. So what happens now that he’s on the other side of the line? Stay tuned… Find more NFL betting trends for Broncos vs. Seahawks.

Pages related to this topic